Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

Martin Sullivan; Simon Lewis; Kofi Affum-Baffoe; Carolina Castilho; Flávia Costa; Aida Cuni Sanchez; Corneille Ewango; Wannes Hubau; Beatriz Marimon; Abel Monteagudo-Mendoza; Lan Qie; Bonaventure Sonke; Rodolfo Vasquez Martinez; Timothy Baker; Roel Brienen; Ted Feldpausch; David Galbraith; Manuel Gloor; Yadvinder Malhi; Shin-Ichiro Aiba; Miguel Alexiades; Everton Almeida; Edmar Almeida de Oliveira; Esteban Alvarez Davila; Patricia Alvarez Loayza; Ana Andrade; Simone Aparecida Vieira; Luiz Aragao; Alejandro Araujo-Murakami; Eric Arets; Luzmila Arroyo; Peter Ashton; Gerardo Aymard C.; Fabrício Baccaro; Lindsay Banin; Christopher Baraloto; Plínio Barbosa Camargo; Jos Barlow; Jorcely Barroso; Jean-Francois Bastin; Sarah Batterman; Hans Beeckman; Serge Begne; Amy Bennett; Erika Berenguer; Nicholas Berry; Lilian Blanc; Pascal Boeckx; Jan Bogaert; Damien Bonal; Frans Bongers; Matt Bradford; Francis Brearley; Terry Brncic; Foster Brown; Benoît Burban; José Luís Camargo; Wendeson Castro; Carlos Cerón; Sabina Cerruto Ribeiro; Victor Chama Moscoso; Jérôme Chave; Eric Chezeaux; Connie Clark; Fernanda Coelho de Souza; Murray Collins; James Comiskey; Fernando Cornejo Valverde; Massiel Corrales Medina; Lola da Costa; Martin Dančák; Greta Dargie; Stuart Davies; Nallaret Davila Cardozo; Thales de Haulleville; Marcelo Brilhante de Medeiros; Jhon del Aguila Pasquel; Géraldine Derroire; Anthony Di Fiore; Jean-Louis Doucet; Aurélie Dourdain; Vincent Droissart; Luisa Fernanda Duque; Romeo Ekoungoulou; Fernando Elias; Terry Erwin; Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert; Sophie Fauset; Joice Ferreira; Gerardo Flores Llampazo; Ernest Foli; Andrew Ford; Martin Gilpin; Jefferson Hall; Keith Hamer; Alan Hamilton; David Harris; Terese Hart; Radim Hédl; Bruno Hérault; Rafael Herrera; Niro Higuchi; Annette Hladik; Eurídice Honorio Coronado; Isau Huamantupa-Chuquimaco; Walter Huaraca Huasco; Kathryn Jeffery; Eliana Jimenez-Rojas; Michelle Kalamandeen; Marie Noël Kamdem Djuikouo; Elizabeth Kearsley; Ricardo Keichi Umetsu; Lip Khoon Kho; Timothy Killeen; Kanehiro Kitayama; Bente Klitgaard; Alexander Koch; Nicolas Labrière; William Laurance; Susan Laurance; Miguel Leal; Aurora Levesley; Adriano Lima; Janvier Lisingo; Aline Lopes; Gabriela Lopez-Gonzalez; Tom Lovejoy; Jon Lovett; Richard Lowe; William Magnusson; Jagoba Malumbres-Olarte; Ângelo Gilberto Manzatto; Ben Hur Marimon; Andrew Marshall; Toby Marthews; Simone Matias de Almeida Reis; Colin Maycock; Karina Melgaço; Casimiro Mendoza; Faizah Metali; Vianet Mihindou; William Milliken; Edward Mitchard; Paulo Morandi; Hannah Mossman; Laszlo Nagy; Henrique Nascimento; David Neill; Reuben Nilus; Percy Núñez Vargas; Walter Palacios; Nadir Pallqui Camacho; Julie Peacock; Colin Pendry; Maria Cristina Peñuela Mora; Georgia Pickavance; John Pipoly; Nigel Pitman; Maureen Playfair; Lourens Poorter; John Poulsen; Axel Dalberg Poulsen; Richard Preziosi; Adriana Prieto; Richard Primack; Hirma Ramirez-Angulo; Jan Reitsma; Maxime Réjou-Méchain; Zorayda Restrepo Correa; Thaiane Rodrigues de Sousa; Lily Rodriguez Bayona; Anand Roopsind; Agustín Rudas; Ervan Rutishauser; Kamariah Abu Salim; Rafael Salomão; Juliana Schietti; Douglas Sheil; Richarlly Silva; Javier Silva Espejo; Camila Silva Valeria; Marcos Silveira; Murielle Simo-Droissart; Marcelo Fragomeni Simon; James Singh; Yahn Carlos Soto Shareva; Clement Stahl; Juliana Stropp; Rahayu Sukri; Terry Sunderland; Martin Svátek; Michael Swaine; Varun Swamy; Hermann Taedoumg; Joey Talbot; James Taplin; David Taylor; Hans ter Steege; John Terborgh; Raquel Thomas; Sean Thomas; Armando Torres-Lezama; Peter Umunay; Luis Valenzuela Gamarra; Geertje van der Heijden; Peter van der Hout; Peter van der Meer; Mark van Nieuwstadt; Hans Verbeeck; Ronald Vernimmen; Alberto Vicentini; Ima Célia Guimarães Vieira; Emilio Vilanova Torre; Jason Vleminckx; Vincent Vos; Ophelia Wang; Lee White; Simon Willcock; John Woods; Verginia Wortel; Kenneth Young; Roderick Zagt; Lise Zemagho; Pieter Zuidema; Joeri Zwerts; Oliver Phillips

doi:10.1126/science.aaw7578

Article dans une revue

Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

Martin Sullivan ¹ Simon Lewis Kofi Affum-Baffoe ² Carolina Castilho ³ Flávia Costa Aida Cuni Sanchez Corneille Ewango Wannes Hubau ⁴ Beatriz Marimon Abel Monteagudo-Mendoza ⁵ Lan Qie ⁴ Bonaventure Sonke ⁶ Rodolfo Vasquez Martinez Timothy Baker Roel Brienen ⁷ Ted Feldpausch David Galbraith ⁸ Manuel Gloor ⁷ Yadvinder Malhi ⁹ Shin-Ichiro Aiba ¹⁰ Miguel Alexiades ¹¹ Everton Almeida Edmar Almeida de Oliveira ¹² Esteban Alvarez Davila ¹³ Patricia Alvarez Loayza ¹⁴ Ana Andrade ¹⁵ Simone Aparecida Vieira ¹⁶ Luiz Aragao ¹⁷ Alejandro Araujo-Murakami ¹⁸ Eric Arets ¹⁹ Luzmila Arroyo ⁵ Peter Ashton ²⁰ Gerardo Aymard C. Fabrício Baccaro Lindsay Banin Christopher Baraloto ²¹ Plínio Barbosa Camargo ²² Jos Barlow Jorcely Barroso ²³ Jean-Francois Bastin ²⁴ Sarah Batterman Hans Beeckman ²⁵ Serge Begne Amy Bennett Erika Berenguer ²⁶ Nicholas Berry ²⁷ Lilian Blanc ²¹ Pascal Boeckx ²⁸ Jan Bogaert ²⁹ Damien Bonal ³⁰ Frans Bongers ³¹ Matt Bradford ³² Francis Brearley Terry Brncic Foster Brown ³³ Benoît Burban ²¹ José Luís Camargo Wendeson Castro ²³ Carlos Cerón ³⁴ Sabina Cerruto Ribeiro Victor Chama Moscoso ³⁵ Jérôme Chave ³⁶ Eric Chezeaux ³⁷ Connie Clark Fernanda Coelho de Souza Murray Collins James Comiskey Fernando Cornejo Valverde ³⁸ Massiel Corrales Medina Lola da Costa ³⁹ Martin Dančák Greta Dargie ⁴ Stuart Davies ⁴⁰ Nallaret Davila Cardozo ⁴¹ Thales de Haulleville Marcelo Brilhante de Medeiros Jhon del Aguila Pasquel Géraldine Derroire ⁴² Anthony Di Fiore ⁴³ Jean-Louis Doucet ⁴⁴ Aurélie Dourdain ⁴⁵ Vincent Droissart ⁴⁶ Luisa Fernanda Duque Romeo Ekoungoulou Fernando Elias ⁴⁷ Terry Erwin Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert ¹ Sophie Fauset ⁴ Joice Ferreira ⁴⁸ Gerardo Flores Llampazo Ernest Foli Andrew Ford ⁴⁹ Martin Gilpin ⁴ Jefferson Hall ⁴⁰ Keith Hamer Alan Hamilton David Harris ⁵⁰ Terese Hart Radim Hédl ⁵¹ Bruno Hérault ⁵² Rafael Herrera Niro Higuchi ⁵³ Annette Hladik ⁵⁴ Eurídice Honorio Coronado Isau Huamantupa-Chuquimaco ³⁵ Walter Huaraca Huasco Kathryn Jeffery ⁵⁵ Eliana Jimenez-Rojas Michelle Kalamandeen Marie Noël Kamdem Djuikouo Elizabeth Kearsley ⁵⁶ Ricardo Keichi Umetsu Lip Khoon Kho ⁵⁷ Timothy Killeen Kanehiro Kitayama ⁵⁸ Bente Klitgaard Alexander Koch ⁵⁹ Nicolas Labrière ⁴² William Laurance Susan Laurance ⁶⁰ Miguel Leal Aurora Levesley Adriano Lima Janvier Lisingo Aline Lopes Gabriela Lopez-Gonzalez ⁴ Tom Lovejoy Jon Lovett ¹ Richard Lowe ⁶¹ William Magnusson ⁶² Jagoba Malumbres-Olarte Ângelo Gilberto Manzatto Ben Hur Marimon ⁶³ Andrew Marshall ⁶⁴ Toby Marthews Simone Matias de Almeida Reis Colin Maycock Karina Melgaço Casimiro Mendoza ⁶⁵ Faizah Metali Vianet Mihindou William Milliken ⁶⁶ Edward Mitchard Paulo Morandi ⁶⁵ Hannah Mossman Laszlo Nagy ⁶⁷ Henrique Nascimento ⁶⁸ David Neill ⁶⁹ Reuben Nilus ⁷⁰ Percy Núñez Vargas ³⁵ Walter Palacios Nadir Pallqui Camacho Julie Peacock ¹ Colin Pendry Maria Cristina Peñuela Mora Georgia Pickavance John Pipoly Nigel Pitman ¹⁴ Maureen Playfair Lourens Poorter ⁷¹ John Poulsen Axel Dalberg Poulsen ⁷² Richard Preziosi Adriana Prieto ¹³ Richard Primack Hirma Ramirez-Angulo ⁶⁵ Jan Reitsma ⁷³ Maxime Réjou-Méchain ⁴⁶ Zorayda Restrepo Correa Thaiane Rodrigues de Sousa Lily Rodriguez Bayona Anand Roopsind ⁷⁴ Agustín Rudas ¹³ Ervan Rutishauser ^{40, 75} Kamariah Abu Salim Rafael Salomão ⁷⁶ Juliana Schietti ¹⁵ Douglas Sheil ⁷⁷ Richarlly Silva Javier Silva Espejo ³⁵ Camila Silva Valeria Marcos Silveira ²³ Murielle Simo-Droissart ⁷⁸ Marcelo Fragomeni Simon James Singh Yahn Carlos Soto Shareva Clement Stahl ⁴⁵ Juliana Stropp ⁷⁹ Rahayu Sukri Terry Sunderland ⁷⁷ Martin Svátek Michael Swaine ⁸⁰ Varun Swamy Hermann Taedoumg ⁸¹ Joey Talbot ⁴ James Taplin David Taylor ⁸² Hans ter Steege ⁸³ John Terborgh ⁸⁴ Raquel Thomas Sean Thomas Armando Torres-Lezama ⁸⁵ Peter Umunay Luis Valenzuela Gamarra ⁵ Geertje van der Heijden ⁸⁶ Peter van der Hout ⁸⁷ Peter van der Meer ⁸⁸ Mark van Nieuwstadt Hans Verbeeck ⁸⁹ Ronald Vernimmen Alberto Vicentini Ima Célia Guimarães Vieira ⁷⁶ Emilio Vilanova Torre ⁹⁰ Jason Vleminckx ⁹¹ Vincent Vos Ophelia Wang ⁹² Lee White ⁹³ Simon Willcock ⁹⁴ John Woods Verginia Wortel ⁹⁵ Kenneth Young Roderick Zagt Lise Zemagho ⁸¹ Pieter Zuidema Joeri Zwerts Oliver Phillips

1 University of Leeds

2 Mensurat Unit

3 Centro de Pesquisa Agroflorestal de Roraima

4 Sch Geog

5 Missouri Botanical Garden

6 Department of Biology, Higher Teachers Training College (HTTC)

7 School of Geography [Leeds]

8 University of Edinburgh

9 School of Geography and the Environment, Environmental Change Institute

10 Grad Sch Sci & Engn

11 University of Kent [Canterbury]

12 UFMT - Universidade Federal do Mato Grosso

13 Universidad Nacional de Colombia

14 Duke University [Durham]

15 INPA - Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia

16 UNICAMP - University of Campinas [Campinas]

17 INPE - National Institute for Space Research [Sao José dos Campos]

18 UAGRM - Universidad Autonoma Gabriel René Moreno

19 WUR - Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen]

20 Dept Organism & Evolutionary Biol

21 ECOFOG - Ecologie des forêts de Guyane

22 USP - Universidade de São Paulo

23 UFAC - Universidade Federal do Acre

24 Research Unit of Landscape Ecology and Plant Production Systems

25 School of Engineering and Science

26 Lancaster Environment Centre

27 Sch Geosci

28 Laboratory of Applied Physical Chemistry

29 Biodiversité et Paysage

30 EEF - Ecologie et Ecophysiologie Forestières [devient SILVA en 2018]

31 Forest Ecol & Forest Management Grp

32 CSIRO Land and Water

33 Woods Hole Research Center

34 Herbario Alfredo Paredes

35 UNSAAC - Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco

36 EDB - Evolution et Diversité Biologique

37 Rougier Gabon

38 Andes to Amazon Biodiversity Program

39 Federal University of Para - Universidade Federal do Para [Belem - Brésil]

40 Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute

41 Universidad nacional de la amazonia peruana

42 AgroParisTech

43 University of Texas at Austin [Austin]

44 Université de Liège

45 UMR ECOFOG - Ecologie des forêts de Guyane

46 UMR AMAP - Botanique et Modélisation de l'Architecture des Plantes et des Végétations

47 LMDH - Laboratoire des Milieux Désordonnés et Hétérogènes

48 Embrapa - Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation

49 CSIRO - Commonwealth Scientific & Industrial Research Organisation

50 Royal Botanic Gardens

51 CAS - Czech Academy of Sciences [Prague]

52 CGP - Commissariat général du Plan

53 Instituto Nacional de Pequisas da Amazônia

54 EA - Éco-Anthropologie

55 Agence Nationale des Parcs Nationaux,

56 UGENT - Ghent University [Belgium]

57 Malaysian Palm Oil Board

58 Kyoto University

59 Institute of Inorganic and Analytical Chemistry

60 JCU - James Cook University

61 LEAD - Laboratoire d'Etude de l'Apprentissage et du Développement [Dijon]

62 Coordenac Bao de Pesquisas em Ecologia

63 UNEMAT - Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso

64 University of Mary Washington

65 Chercheur indépendant

66 Royal Botanic Garden , Kew

67 Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology

68 IST - Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade Técnica de Lisboa

69 Universidad Estatal Amazonica

70 FRC - Forest Research Centre

71 Forest Ecology and Forest Management Group

72 Natural History Museum [Oslo]

73 Bur Waarderburg

74 Iwokrama International Centre for Rainforest Conservation and Development

75 CarboForExpert

76 MPEG - Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi [Belém, Brésil]

77 CIFOR - Center for International Forestry Research

78 University of Yaoundé [Cameroun]

79 IES - JRC Institute for Environment and Sustainability

80 Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, School of Biological Sciences

81 Plant Systemat & Ecol Lab

82 Department of Neurology

83 Naturalis Biodiversity Center [Leiden]

84 Division of Marine Science and Conservation, Nicholas School of the Environment

85 Instituto de Investigaciones para el Desarrollo Forestal

86 University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee

87 Van der Hout Forestry Consulting

88 UMCG - University Medical Center Groningen [Groningen]

89 CAVElab - Computational & Applied Vegetation Ecology

90 UNIANDES - Universidad de los Andes [Bogota]

91 IB - Department of Integrative Biology [Berkeley]

92 Sch Earth Sci & Environm Sustainabil

93 University of Stirling

94 Biol Sci

95 Biodiversity Department

Abstract : The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (−9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth’s climate.

Keywords : Tropical trees Climate change and forestry Tropical forest carbon stocks

Type de document :

Article dans une revue

Domaine :

Sciences du Vivant [q-bio] / Biodiversité / Systématique, phylogénie et taxonomie

Sciences du Vivant [q-bio] / Ecologie, Environnement / Ecosystèmes

Sciences du Vivant [q-bio] / Biologie végétale / Botanique

Sciences de l'environnement / Biodiversité et Ecologie

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https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02650649
Contributeur : Yannick Brohard <>
Soumis le : vendredi 29 mai 2020 - 14:27:40
Dernière modification le : jeudi 15 avril 2021 - 15:08:15

Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

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